Thursday, February 19, 2015
Sunday, February 15, 2015
ANOTHER SHOT OF SNOW FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
The Valentine's Day snowfall produced little in the way of snow around most of the region.
Another light to moderate snowfall is on tap for Monday night into Tuesday. Snow should begin late in the evening Monday and continue through the morning commute on Tuesday before ending.
Due to the timing of the snowfall itself, a significant impact to the morning commute on Tuesday is likely.
Accumulations will be confined to NYC and points south and east.
Elsewhere further north, amounts should be even lighter as the storm's precipitation shield will have a hard time advancing north into a cold, dense air mass.
More brutal cold is in store for Wednesday night into Thursday, with wicked wind-chills during this time.
Some moderation in temps will take place for late in the weekend.
Another light to moderate snowfall is on tap for Monday night into Tuesday. Snow should begin late in the evening Monday and continue through the morning commute on Tuesday before ending.
Due to the timing of the snowfall itself, a significant impact to the morning commute on Tuesday is likely.
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| NOAA: Probability of 4" or more |
Accumulations will be confined to NYC and points south and east.
Elsewhere further north, amounts should be even lighter as the storm's precipitation shield will have a hard time advancing north into a cold, dense air mass.
More brutal cold is in store for Wednesday night into Thursday, with wicked wind-chills during this time.
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| 7online.com/weather |
Some moderation in temps will take place for late in the weekend.
Friday, February 13, 2015
VALENTINE'S DAY SNOW, FOLLOWED BY SEVERE COLD....
1. Major blizzard will develop and clip the region for Saturday and Saturday night. Snow begins in the afternoon and continues into the overnight hours before ending. Deteriorating visibility will occur due to the very powdery nature of the snow (especially for the areas in red on the map below). Temps will rapidly fall during the storm, with dangerous, life-threatening cold settling over the region during the overnight hours on Sunday morning. Howling winds late Saturday through Sunday afternoon will make for sub-zero wind-chills, which will last for a long duration. Some wind gusts Sunday morning could lead to power outages and property damage, especially over Long Island.
2. Snow should wind down by very early Sunday morning. However, dangerous, wind-driven cold will continue into Sunday night, with record low temps possible. Winds will relax by Monday, but the mercury will only top out around the 20-degree mark in most places.
3. Another significant storm system possible for Tuesday into Wednesday, with potential for heavy precip. Temps will rise further, making the predictability of forecasting the type of precip a challenge. Update will be needed Sunday.
4. Signs indicate that another formidable cold shot will take aim at the region for late next week after the mid-week storm goes by. Overall, the current model guidance is strongly hinting at the idea that the highest temps from now through the end of next week will stay anchored below the 32-degree mark.
2. Snow should wind down by very early Sunday morning. However, dangerous, wind-driven cold will continue into Sunday night, with record low temps possible. Winds will relax by Monday, but the mercury will only top out around the 20-degree mark in most places.
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| @LeegoldbergABC7 on Twitter: Record lows possible Sunday night/Monday morning |
3. Another significant storm system possible for Tuesday into Wednesday, with potential for heavy precip. Temps will rise further, making the predictability of forecasting the type of precip a challenge. Update will be needed Sunday.
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| Intellicast.com |
4. Signs indicate that another formidable cold shot will take aim at the region for late next week after the mid-week storm goes by. Overall, the current model guidance is strongly hinting at the idea that the highest temps from now through the end of next week will stay anchored below the 32-degree mark.
Tuesday, February 10, 2015
Saturday, February 7, 2015
MORE DANGEROUS COLD AND TREACHEROUS TRAVEL LOOMS FOR MUCH OF FEBRUARY
1. No changes from previous idea on upcoming storm (see previous video discussion). In the pink area on the map below, ice accretion will be the biggest headache from Sunday night through Monday evening near the coast (1-3" of snow there) with 3" of snow or greater confined to north and west of NYC. Very slick road conditions likely during this time frame, albeit with a fairly light amount of precipitation (heaviest precip stays well north of the area).
2. After the storm exits, skies clear out, but temps remain cold in the low to mid 30s for Tuesday and again Wednesday.
3. A coastal storm will develop off the Mid-Atlantic states on Thursday and needs to be watched; right now, it looks like a near-miss.
4. Aforementioned storm will deliver a severely cold air mass for Thursday night into Friday, with slow moderation Saturday (but only into the 20s for highs). Dangerous wind-chill values on Friday will generally be around -10 to -20 Fahrenheit.
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| 7online.com/weather |
5. Another vicious Arctic blast is likely for Sunday into Monday, with a renewed threat early next week of significant snows for part or all of the region.
Update to follow Tuesday.
Thursday, February 5, 2015
Tuesday, February 3, 2015
ACTIVE COLD, STORMY PATTERN CONTINUES
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| Lee Goldberg on Twitter |
1. Wednesday will feel like a heat wave, as temps climb into the upper 30s to low 40s on a southerly flow off of the ocean. But this air mass will be short-lived. Gusty winds during the day will usher in the latest in a series of Arctic cold fronts, which will arrive very late at night. Temps tumble sharply at night Wednesday night.
2. Snow will develop for Thursday morning from west to east, most likely around the morning rush hours. Potential is there for up to two inches of new snow by the time the snow ends Thursday morning. Some places may see moderate to heavy snowfall rates for a brief time before the snow ends.
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| pix11.com/weather |
3. Bitter cold for Thursday night into Friday morning, with wind-chill values near to below 0. Quiet weather prevails for the end of the week and for Saturday. Then, we'll have to watch a storm system for Sunday and Sunday night. Accumulating snow is possible during this time frame. This will need updating.
4. Continued cold, stormy weather pattern for the foreseeable future. Pattern appears to be loaded with plenty of cold in addition to an active southern storm track for balance of the month.
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