Thursday, October 3, 2013

KAREN COULD MAKE THE AREA LESS BARREN ON MONDAY

But first, some changes are notable for tomorrow's forecast. It appears to be a bit more pessimistic (cloudier as well) for eastern coastal areas, but not a washout by any means. Although the bulk of the light showers tomorrow should stay west of the Hudson, the coverage will be enough to keep rain chances in mind for all locales, especially during the afternoon and early evening.

NOAA Current Surface Chart


Saturday and Sunday, the threat for an isolated afternoon shower is renewed, but it's more confined to the west and north of the city and coast, as the staggering warm front finally makes it through by Sunday night.

Temps stay quite mild and very muggy as noted yesterday.

Intellicast.com



 In fact, the presence of more clouds at nighttime will hold temps steady even then!

weather.com


The same forecast problem exists for Monday, as Karen makes her journey as a decaying tropical cyclone up the eastern seaboard, most likely east of the Appalachian Chain. Anything rain-wise would be a welcomed sight; parts of the area are running as much as five inches behind the mean yearly total for this date.

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Today's forecasts are a little more ambitious, showing widespread totals of at least an inch

WPC Precip Forecast from Yesterday 10/2/13

WPC Precip Forecast From today 10/3/13


The timing would be Monday afternoon into Monday night, with leftover showers Tuesday morning before clearing.

More later...