VIDEO: SMOOTH SUMMER SAILING AHEAD THROUGH TUESDAY

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OVERALL DRY WEEK, WITH A PRECARIOUS START

Father's Day will be cloudy across the tri state area, with areas to the north and to the south of NYC having the best chances at seeing any showers and thunderstorms for today and tonight. The coast and city have the more stable air and are poised just to the south of the best overall atmospheric parameters  which could trigger anything.

for Monday into early Tuesday, the forecast becomes marred by low predictability. Overall however, the best chances for organized storm activity will come Monday night into early Tuesday morning, as the next front comes through.

After we get by Tuesday morning, the weather looks dry and very pleasant for Wednesday and Thursday, before a more humid air mass takes hold for late in the week.

Intellicast

The bulk of the rainfall nationwide looks to stay to our south over the next five days.

WPC 5-day rainfall totals through 7am Friday June 21st

The possibility of warmer, but wet conditions looks the most likely as we go into the week of the 24th.

NYC's May/June Rainfall (most ever recorded from May 1-June 30th)

year...May/June rains

1989.....19.03"
1972.....17.69"

2013.....17.60"
1984.....15.50"
2009.....15.23"
2003.....13.70"
1968.....13.21"
2006.....13.17"
1948.....13.10"
1998.....12.88"