A TRANQUIL SEVEN DAYS AHEAD

The region will have another stretch of dry weather with little opportunity for significant rainfall through at least next weekend and probably a bit beyond.

Accuweather.com

A cold front will come through tomorrow night and re-inforce the cool air mass that's already in place for this weekend. Temps will be brisk on Sunday and especially Monday.

A feble rain chance will come about Wednesday morning ahead of a weak frontal boundary.

Tropical Tidbits: Wednesday morning rain chance is slim

Weather Underground

By Friday, a strong front should swing through, leading to a cold weekend. Temps will be in the 40s for the most part on Saturday and Sunday, with the threat of below freezing temps invading on Saturday night.

Tropical Tidbits: GFS Low Temps Sunday Morning Below Freezing In NYC

Temps will average near normal for the work week before the cool air mass settles in for this coming weekend; the factors in the overall pattern leading to a fast start to winter after the 15th are there, but are happening gradually.

NOVEMBER STARTS WARM, BUT SHOULD TURN SHARPLY COLDER BY MID-MONTH

1. Winter overview video post discusses heightened prospects for a cold, stormy winter, with a cautious approach on the overall snow idea. Official forecasts are more bullish on above-normal seasonal snowfall totals area-wide, including north and west of NYC, which largely missed out last year.




2.  Warmer this week overall compared to last week, but temps will be warmest late week. Thursday is the warmest day.

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3.  Next chance of showers comes Thursday afternoon, with light amounts of under a half inch expected.

4. Chilly weekend next weekend, with highs in the 50s. Coldest day is Sunday with highs possibly not making it out of the 40s during the day.

5. Cold, stormy weather comes mid-to-late month. Early start to winter anticipated as opposed to last year, when the region experienced record warmth in November/December.