STUBBORN COASTAL STORM ALREADY BEGINNING TO WANE....

The various forecast models have handled the evolution of the season's first nor'easter very poorly, as the bulk of the rainfall has been stationary over the central Mid-Atlantic states all day today...

Ewall. Penn State University

A large dome of high pressure has kept the column of air dry enough in the mid levels of the atmosphere, so that precip could not break out and become heavy as was expected. This trend should persist through Saturday morning, leaving the area with far less in the way of rainfall amounts. 

OUTLOOK FROM TUESDAY VIDEO:

NEW IDEA:

The rate of rainfall should be light to occasionally moderate through Saturday morning, before the threat of rain diminishes by saturday afternoon. In fact, although it will be somewhat cloudy, the area should be virtually rain-free the entire weekend. 

Accuweather.com

With the slow movement of the weak storm , the threat of minor beach erosion and minor coastal flooding continues.

Intellicast

VIDEO: PROLONGED COASTAL STORM WILL BESIEGE THE LOCAL AREA LATE THIS WEEK INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK

watch now

A LOOK AT THE NEXT 30 HOURS

The warm front which was situated over the mid-Atlantic states for much of the weekend has drifted up into our region today, with very little movement anticipated through tomorrow morning...

WPC current surface analysis 

The onshore flow will allow cloud cover to dominate, with periods of very light rain continuing through the period.

Intellicast

Under low clouds, temps will be steady. Right now, they are holding in the upper 60s.

Intellicast Temp Change for the PAST 24 hour period.

By tomorrow, winds should begin to increase, with mostly cloudy skies. The rain arrives by evening...

HIGHLIGHTS FOR THE WEEK AHEAD

Intellicast

Current shot of the remains of Karen in the Gulf of Mexico

The rainfall idea here was based off of a blend of meteorologist Lee Goldberg (ABC 7) from Friday and NWS Mount Holly, NJ, with a slight weight towards NWS New York for timing and winds.

WINDS from Monday night into Tuesday morning could gust as high as 30mph from the south

By late week, another storm should develop over the eastern coastal waters. The models are just catching this now, with some bringing the storm south of the region, and others with more of a northern track. The timing would be Saturday afternoon into Sunday as far as rain and some wind. The biggest impact would be if the storm could deliver some needed rain across the region, but this remains to be seen.

EURO model sees a storm for Saturday off of the coast