PREDICTABILITY OF FORECAST PERIOD: MEDIUM
HIGHLIGHTS:
1 Previous overview on track through Thursday.
2. Friday starts to get unsettled and damp, but the milder air works in as well. Risk of a few light showers north of NYC Friday, then spreading east by Friday night.
3. Periods of rainfall for the weekend, especially late Saturday, Sunday night, then again Monday afternoon/night with a strong cold front. Very mild. Could even see a stray thunderstorm Monday with highs in the upper 50s and a strong front nearby. Cooler day Sunday, with temps in the upper 40s.
4. Tuesday through Thursday: Much colder, but things clear out. Temps essentially around normal December levels.
INTELLICAST TEMPS SHOW THE COOL-DOWN
DISCUSSION: After a brief punch of cold from Wednesday night (tonight) through Thursday night, temps will start to climb once again. However, the renewed surge of mild air will come with a price; periods of rainfall will ensue from late Friday through much of Monday night, before another burst of cold weather lunges in for Tuesday through Thursday of next week. The situation is reminiscent of the opening of last December, and for that matter, much of winter 2011-2012 (short, sharp shots of cold in a sea of warmth).
But don't let it fool you into a false sense of security (yet).
Going into December, the consensus for this month was that cold air would decidedly win out by the tenth; now, indications are that seasonal temps will begin to only gradually infiltrate by Tuesday or Wednesday of next week (around the 12th).
Moreover, while an uptick in rainfall seems likely, the overall pattern is not conducive to significant wintry precip through the 13th. But the overall message put forth here (obviously with help from the pros), even though delayed by about five to six days, still holds sway; increasingly cold, stormy weather should take hold and the threat of a harsh period of winter weather right around the heart of the holiday season is something to keep in mind as we go forward.
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