WARMER AIR ON THE MENU THROUGH MID WEEK NEXT WEEK

1. storm this past week under-performed precip-wise, but lashed the coast with high waves and strong winds. Overview was best north and west of town where the most snow fell (Thursday night, with virtually none Wednesday night).

2. Mild temps take over, with Saturday/Sunday blanketed by bright blue skies. Temps near 50 for the first time in weeks. 30s to near 40 at night.

Accu-weather

3. Monday turns cloudy, but it's even milder than Sunday, with temps surging in to the mid/upper 50s. Showers arrive at night Monday night into Tuesday morning, before clearing takes hold Tuesday through the remainder of the week.

4. Long range guidance indicates a period of cold weather arriving around the 17th. Chance for another coastal storm during this time frame, as the overall pattern is once again conducive for a time.

STORM UPDATE: WHAT TO WATCH FOR THROUGH FRIDAY

The overview from the past two days is basically on track. The snow amounts look good from yesterday, with the best chance of over six inches of snow for the eastern tip of Long Island and eastern Connecticut. However, keep in mind that the accumulation will take place after dark tonight and through the overnight hours.  If the precip changes over to snow sooner in your location, the chances for seeing higher snowfall totals are much greater.

The guidance is really picking up on the idea of the second shot of snowfall tomorrow night into very early Friday morning; so, the odds are looking good that after a lull tomorrow afternoon, a period of steady snow should develop tomorrow night, with the potential of 1-3 more inches on top of whatever you receive tonight into tomorrow!

There is the possibility of travel delays Thursday morning. Winds will remain fairly high through Friday, as the storm is slow to exit the region.

The weekend looks dry, with temps in the 40s.

FORECAST DE JOUR...

this is absurd for this late in the game to have this much disagreement. See the video for the explanation for all of the weather madness on the eve of what should be a fascinating storm the next few days.

VIDEO: STORM UPDATE

POTENTIAL INCREASING FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL AND STRONG WINDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...

MAJOR COASTAL STORM WILL LINGER INTO MUCH OF FRIDAY 

The models, which have had an awful time with the northward extend of this storm are now coming into better agreement. The trend over the past 24-36 hours is decidedly in favor of a further northward moving storm, putting the Tri-State area directly in the crosshairs of the storm on Wednesday evening into the overnight hours.

Rain will change to a heavy wet snowfall for the entire area, with intense snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

The precipitation will change back to light rain in the afternoon on Thursday before tapering off at night thursday night. However, as the intense low pressure sits and spins over the North Atlantic on Friday, an additional round of snowfall -- probably light -- will be possible during the day.

Very windy conditions are likely for Wednesday evening; in fact, winds will only slowly subside on Thursday and Friday, as the pattern remains bottled up. At their peak, wind speeds could surpass 50mph Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

The prolong beating on our coastline cannot be overlooked; the coastal flood and beach erosion from the storm will only slowly abate. One positive note is that astronomical tides are not at their highest possible levels.

Accu-weather

Another update late tonight or tomorrow...