POTENTIAL INCREASING FOR TWO ACCUMULATIING SNOWFALLS NEXT WEEK

The highly touted stormy weather pattern is evolving from warm and rainy to that of snowy and cold, and the next 10-15 days should produce two to perhaps three wintry weather events for the tri state area. Two of those three storms could carry substantial precipitation, with a minor even on Christmas eve/day.

ACCU-weather Mon/Tues Storm

ACCU-weather Wednesday night/Thursday storm

Any further south track of these storms could easily shift the heavy snows into NYC and Long Island. We've seen it happen several times in the past few years, where projected tracks favoring a mixed precip event ended up colder. 

The third system (not depicted in graphical form yet) would follow around New Years’ Eve/Day.

The rest of the overview is on track from the last two posts

More to come Sunday or early Monday

A PERIOD OF VERY STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN LIKELY FOR EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

PREDICTABILITY OF FORECAST PERIOD: MEDIUM

 

The latest in a series of storms will barrel towards the region on Friday; it will serve to usher in sustained cold through the holiday season, and as it does so, it will bring very strong winds and soaking rains to the region Friday morning.

 

A rough Friday morning rush hour may be in store, particularly from 6am onward.

 

NOAA Graphic says it all:

NOAA NWS New York on Twitter/Facebook

 

Expect airport and transit delays as well as some isolated power outages.

 

Although the winds will abate somewhat Friday, generally blustery weather will continue through the weekend, with scattered rain and snow showers during the afternoon hours for Saturday and Sunday.

Accuweather.com

 

Actual temps will finally remain near their normal December levels through Christmas, which is a far cry from a virtual sea of warmth which has, up until now, engulfed the lower 48 states for the majority of the month (opposite of November).

HPC.noaa.gov

 

Lows at night from Saturday through Tuesday will be in the 20s area-wide.

 

A weak storm may be able to produce some very light snowfall on Christmas (late Monday evening into early Tuesday morning). Thereafter, another storm – which looks to be much stronger – could impact the region around Thursday into Friday with both rain and snow.

 

The pattern is such that another storm will be possible around New Years’ Eve/Day, as the big blocking High pressure remains entrenched over Northeast Canada, and storms run underneath it to the eastern seaboard.

 

More to come over the weekend…