Thursday, October 16, 2014

A CHILLY WEEK NEXT WEEK

The warmth of this week took us back to typical temps that we'd see in late August/early September. However,  after a pleasant Friday and a warm, windy day Saturday, our temps will become much cooler beginning late Saturday afternoon and night,  and this will continue for the balance of the upcoming week.

Intellicast.com shows the location of the cold front 8am Saturday morning...


In fact, highs on Sunday will struggle to reach the mid-50s; that's easily 10 degrees below where daytime readings should be for this time of year.  It'll be breezy both weekend days, but winds will feel much chillier on Sunday since by then, they will prevail from a northerly direction.

Our first opportunity for widespread sub-40 degree low temps comes Sunday night, especially outside of NYC.

NOAA-Low temp forecast Sunday night/Monday morning



Intellicast.com
Climate Prediction Center: 6-10 day temp probability shows "below normal" in the eastern U.S. 


The rain we had this week looks to be a pre-cursor for more rain next week. Another slow-moving storm will develop to our south by Tuesday and meander northward during mid-week. This could lead to a period of steady rain and increasing winds Wednesday; while the exact amount of rain for mid-week next week is uncertain, easterly winds will help to lock in the clouds, as well as low level moisture and cool temps beginning Tuesday and continuing through much of Thursday, as the stubborn storm slowly moves away.

Sunday, October 12, 2014

POTENT STORM FOR THURSDAY...

1. Clouds lower and thicken tonight into Monday, but best chances for any light showers should be inland on Monday and Monday night. Warm southerly flow will push temps steadily upward Monday and this will continue through Wednesday, in spite of abundant cloud cover. Nighttime lows will stay quite mild through Thursday night.


Accuweather.com


2. Dry through the first half of Wednesday night. Strong, slow-moving frontal system encroaches upon the region, with heavy showers and some thunderstorms for late Wednesday night through much of Thursday before ending. Total rainfall should average around 1 inch, with some higher amounts possible in any thunderstorms. High temps stay rather mild during Thursday, but temps start to get knocked back towards the low 70s by Friday.

WPC Total Precip 7am Wed-7am Fri

U.S. Drought Monitor


3. Dry weekend, but temps tumble Saturday night with another frontal passage.  Temps will hover around 60 for highs on Sunday, some 15-20 degrees lower than where they will be for mid week! Another potent storm will take aim at the region around Tuesday, with another soaking rain.