Thursday, January 14, 2016

HIGHLIGHTS THROUGH NEXT WEEK

1. Coastal storm brushes the region late Friday night/Saturday with all rain.  Rain ends by early afternoon Saturday. Some flurries may fly Saturday afternoon as the storm pulls away.


WPC: Projected position of storm 7am Sat


2. Dry Sunday, with temps in the 30s. Strong cold front comes through Sunday night, with perhaps some light snow.  Windy on Sunday night.



3. Dry, but cold Monday through Wednesday. Bitter wind-chill values Monday due to gusty northwest winds. Teens for low temps both Monday night and Tuesday night. Temps slowly moderate by late week.

Hurricane Alex headed for the Azores 

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

TWO STORMS TO TRACK THROUGH MONDAY

The ideas for Friday night into Saturday's storm are pretty much on track from the earlier post. Rain becomes likely late Friday night through Saturday afternoon, with a period of moderate rain overnight Friday/Saturday morning. Total rainfall should average around 0.50 to 1 inch, with lesser amounts north and west.  As mentioned previously,  cold air, which is entrenched now, will give way to the oncoming storm as it approaches from the south.  A stubborn high pressure needs to hold its ground in order for the region to get a winter storm, but in this case, the high will push off the coast and allow warm air to flood the mid and North Atlantic states .

Tropical Tidbits: 18z GFS 1/13/15
Meanwhile, during Saturday, a new storm should take shape over the southern plains. The storm's interaction with the northern branch of the jet stream will be critical to our weather for Sunday night into Monday.  If the two entities stay separate, our weather would be blustery and cold to open the new week; however, should they merge, we would have a chance at accumulating snow for Sunday night into Monday.

7online.com/weather
One thing's for certain: Next week looks cold, with highs struggling to get out of the 20s from Monday through Wednesday. A moderating temperature trend should occur by late next week, but more storm chances will come with it.


Monday, January 11, 2016

WEEKEND COASTAL STORM THREAT

1. Weak storm system shuffles through the region on Tuesday afternoon and evening. Mainly light rain/snow for NYC and points south and east during the late afternoon through the evening hours before ending.  Windy conditions Tuesday. Across the Lower Hudson Valley and Connecticut (especially in the hilly terrain),  all snow is likely, with generally less than 2 inches of accumulation for the entire storm. Temps in the 40s Tuesday, then much cooler for Wednesday.

HudsonValleyWeather.com
2. Cool conditions persist from Wednesday through the end of the week. Wednesday is the coldest day of the week; highs in the 30s and strong northwest winds will make it feel like it's in the 20s and teens most of the day.




3. Cold air retreats as a potent storm pulls up the coast. Rain should develop from south to north Friday night and continue into Saturday afternoon before ending. A period of freezing rain is possible well inland before rain takes over Saturday.  Another update will come Wednesday to address this.

4. Turning sharply colder for Sunday and MLK Day. Temps in the 30s .