The question that still needs to be ironed out for the upcoming weekend storm are as follows:
a). How strong will the storm be? A stronger storm would tend to drive warmer air up the coastal plain and make for more of a mixed precip event for the city and coast. However, a weaker storm would actually mean MORE SNOW for the coast; in this scenario, warm air would not get here in time to change the precip over to a mix. And with cold air in place, it would be able to hold on for the duration of the storm.
Ironically, the opposite effect would take place further away from the coast. Well inland, the strong storm option would crush the Hudson Valley and points to the north, as copious amounts of moisture would be thrown up into the higher elevations, with very little changeover to plain rain. However, a weaker storm would be robbed of moisture, thus only giving the region to the north of the coast a light to moderate storm...
Having fun yet...?
More later
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