PREDICTABILITY OF FORECAST PERIOD NOW THROUGH SATURDAY-HIGH
PREDICTABILITY OF FORECAST PERIOD FOR SUNDAY-MONDAY: LOW
1. Overview on track through Thursday. Temps cool mid week, but rebound to near 50 Friday. Dry conditions through Saturday.
INTELLICAST TEMPS:
2. Weak front crosses Friday, but does bring a shot of cooler air for Saturday. Temps in the mid 40s Saturday, with increasing clouds late in the day
3. Potential winter storm Sunday into Monday. Heavy precip possible from intensifying coastal low. Wide spread in model guidance; very low confidence, but odds favor interior getting snow/mix, with rain at the coast if the storm comes close (NYC metro included in the rain category, for now).
4. Major period of stormy, cold weather for the holiday season looking likely nationwide. Strong blocking high pressure over Northeast Canada that was absent last year should combine with active storm track to produce above-average wintry precip through early January. Test will be to see if NYC gets over 6 inches of snow between 12/15-1/05/13 (if not, it’s a major bust considering how long this idea has been out there).
snow! oh wow
ReplyDeletethink our best shot is around the 20th actually. Not a lot of arctic air to tap for storm #1 sun/mon. But we'll cash in with a pattern like this. pretty confident in that. At least it's more exciting than last years' dud of a winter!
ReplyDeletenot even a shovel needed last winter. Think I used my broom (no comments)
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