FINAL THOUGHTS
The northern edge of the storm (or fringes of the storm) are always tough to forecast. Over the last 24 hours, there has been a discernible trend northward in the handing of the extent of the heaviest snows. This has resulted in a drastic uptick in forecasted amounts by NOAA, especially for NYC and Long Island.
The combination of the coastal flooding and the higher than expected snowfall impacts to our region may make this storm the worst winter storm we’ve seen in quite some time. This is impressive considering all the prolific snow-makers which have affected the region since the late 1990s.
Snow should build in before daybreak (faster than expected) and become heavy at times by mid-morning from south to north.
In any one place, snow in the 12-18” area could last for 12-18 hours. Mixing will be minimal, even way out on the Island. There is a real danger that snow amounts exceed the 18” plateau, but this will have to be addressed during the storm. The best candidates for 18”+ amounts lie along the south shore of NYC, Long Island and especially over much of the state of New Jersey.
Winds will be as high as 60mph out on the Island and across coastal NYC. Power outages are a possibility due to the heavy, wet nature of the snow…
Stay tuned!
Wow thanks! That's a pretty significant shift this late in the game. Glad I always read the Updates. Hope all is well my friend.
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