Thursday, November 29, 2012

DECEMBER OPENS UP AS WARM AS ADVERTISED


PREDICTABILITY OF FORECAST PERIOD: MEDIUM
 
1. Spotty light rain Friday night towards the coast/NYC, with some light freezing rain/snow in Orange/Rockland/Putnam counties and adjacent counties in NJ/CT. Watch for icy roads late Friday night in these areas. Temps in the 30s everywhere Friday night.
 
2. Periods of light rain/drizzle will persist into Saturday and Saturday night before a break ensues Sunday during the day. Warm air makes inroads in the northern counties early Saturday, so that frozen/ice threat is shut off early. Temps rise throughout the weekend (persistent cloud cover notwithstanding). Readings will climb even at night; temps will gradually move into the 50s Sunday.

NOAA RAIN CHANCES SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY:



 
3. A period of some heavier showers Sunday night. Break for Monday and much of Tuesday, with very mild temps close to 60! Plenty of clouds though; some partial breaks of sun

INTELLICAST TEMPS:


ACCUWEATHER OVERALL PATTERN SHOWS WARMTH DOMINATING THE LOWER 48 STATES

 

4. Sharp turn to colder temps (average temps) Tuesday night/early Wednesday morning, as front comes through with showers. Blustery Wednesday afternoon into Thursday, with highs in the 40s.
 
5. Signs in the long term still lean towards a turn to a more persistent cold, stormy pattern by mid-month. Previous posts, video and links handle this.
 

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