MODELS FORESAW HISTORIC HEAT WAVE

A look at the actual high temps from yesterday compared with the GFS forecast of the core of the heat wave shows that the models were pretty good in showing where the extreme readings would lie.

however, as impressive as the models' performance was, the overall international and American suite were fairly disorganized  in predicting a late night barrage of thunderstorms on Saturday, which begat a path of destruction and death.

As for our weather, another warm week is in store, with the growing likelihood of showers and thunderstorms at some point on the Fourth. However, the long term picture is starting to show a sign that a cool second week of July may be in the offing.

more tomorrow.