WARMTH LATE THIS WEEK INTO NEXT WEEK, BUT WILL BENEFICIAL RAINS FOLLOW?

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The answer to the rainfall question is hard to pin down, but there is a growing threat of enhanced precip across the southeast for next week:

if we can get even some of this rain our way mid-to-late next week, it would go a long way towards alleviating the fire danger that has creeped in this spring. Already, many small to medium sized brush fires have developed around the region in recent weeks.

Much of this week we're in now is cool, with threats of rain already covered here. Additionally, the idea of warming temps this weekend is well supported now by multiple sources, with cooler weather perhaps taking shape after next Wednesday.

Here is the temp forecast from Weatherbell, made available to non-subscribers this past Saturday

It shows a warm week overall from the 15th through the 19th, as does the Climate Predictions Center:

But all of this warmth may be front-loaded. Look at the GFS model implications for next Thursday, as many of its individual members show colder air sweeping in to scour out the significant warmth.

So the plan is that we start the warming in earnest by this Saturday, with the apex of the warmth Monday into Tuesday (assuming very light rain and clouds don't ruin Monday).

 In the period Sunday through Tuesday, we should see highs climb into the 70s and low 80s, and even to near the 90 degree plateau either Sunday or Monday:

Intellicast shows this in their temp graph.

With all this in mind, the question for next week goes back to where we started; can we get some much needed rains by mid week next week, along with the cooler air, to dampen the fire danger and help the growing season along?