Wednesday, May 23, 2012

MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND FEATURES WARMTH, HUMIDITY AND STORMS

1. Thursday is a repeat of yesterday and today, with any numerous showers relegated to the west of NYC during the day. Temps in the upper 60s and 70s and somewhat muggy.  Rainy conditions develop late Thursday (with an isolated thunderstorm) and continue into early Friday, before clearing ensues again.

2. Friday, a risk of a shower or storm is highest (again) to the west of the city. Muggy. Temps in the 70s, with 60s at night.

3. Saturday is dry and a bit less humid. However, temps come up into the 80s. Near 80 even out on the Island. Lows in the 60s.  Risk of a shower only for the highest of elevations away from the city and coast.


4. Potentially active, stormy day sunday, as nearby front act as conveyor belt for numerous showers and thunderstorms beginning early Sunday into Sunday night all areas. Some heavy rain may develop Sunday as storms may encompass a wide area, and have plenty of fuel to work with. Not a washout. Temps in the mid-upper 70s with clouds more pronounced Sunday.


5. Monday and Tuesday look to be the warmest days, with highs climbing into the 80s. Some 90-degree readings are possible Tuesday before another front sweeps in with a risk of a shower/thunderstorm. Overall, hyped heat from previous NOAA forecasts will largely spare the area due to fronts and storms. Temps won't hit 90-degrees more than once through the next seven days.

6. New termanoligy being tried here to make sense out of the senseless "probability of precipitation." See below. Need feedback to see if this is working.




Risk of a shower/thunderstorm-probability of a shower is low. Most of the forecast period will be dry.

Numerous (heavy can be inserted) Showers/thunderstorms- probability of showers is high, and could happen multiple times during the given forecast period. Constant rain is not expected

Rainy conditions-intermittent precip; rain can vary in duration, but usually will last more than an hour. Light to moderate intensity. Less than an inch expected during the forecast period.

Heavy Rain-soaking, constant rainfall for at least an hour (duration can be much longer); amounts over a half an inch. 

Light snow-very light snowfall. Little to no accumulation. Duration depends. 

Snowy conditions-intermittent snow can last more than an hour at a time, but generally average less than 3 inches total.

Heavy Snow-heavy snowfall. Snowfall of at least 3 hours in duration. Totals can be added in

Drizzle-constant drizzle

Occasional Drizzle-intermittent drizzle




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