MORE ON THE DROUGHT (AND WHETHER WE CAN KNOCK IT OUT)

First, a word about the point and clicks for Monday and Tuesday: They are going to be too low. Newark and NYC will hit their highest temps of the year thus far (my prediction based on what i'm seeing elsewhere tonight, apart from regular Point and click sites). Central and Southern New Jersey locales away from the water will hit 90 either day. Not to mention, the video the other day mentioned Joe B's take, that we would hit 90 in the Big Apple; with not as much cloud cover around Monday and Tuesday, we have a very good shot. Nevertheless, it will be quite balmy, any which way you slice it. 


Intellicast is woefully underdone for Monday and Tuesday, after leading the pack the other day. Shows you how unreliable the point-and-clicks can be (because they change on their own, and not necessarily with human intervention). 

Now, onto the drought:


Our local NOAA office did a release today on the impact of the drought around our area. As they and the Climate Predictions Center see it, the prospects of stabilizing things over the next two weeks look low; after 2011’s deluge, this problem started with the very dry winter season, and it was brought up here during the winter as something to watch unfold. We’ve seen many significant brush fires across the region in recent days and weeks, and more of the same is expected through the next several days, as the well-advertised, major push of summer-like temperatures takes a run at our area Sunday through Tuesday.

In their latest forecast discussion, the NWS made note of the Euro model’s depiction of a heavy rainstorm for next Wednesday night into Thursday. Should it pan out, it would offer a meager, but much-needed dent into the drought; however, other models like the GFS keep the rainfall less than impressive, so we’ll just have to wait for the various solutions to converge towards some semblance of continuity over the weekend.

So to sum up: Things to watch for next week are

a). how cool do we get after the heat blast?

b).  How long does the cool weather last before another surge of warmth comes in/ if at all?

c). will we see much needed mid-week rainfall with the push of cooler air?