SO WHAT HAS CHANGED SINCE YESTERDAY...

In a nutshell, the forecasts for snowfall accumulation from most every source for all areas of the tri-state areas have increased. In addition, the duration of the snowfall and strong wind speeds is now forecasted to last into a good part of Saturday morning, particularly for NYC and points eastward

 The reason for all of this is because most model guidance is now depicting an even stronger storm, with even greater potential for tremendous snowfall rates (per hour) from late Friday afternoon into Saturday morning. In fact, the forecast "problem" may ultimately be that the change to rain Friday morning for the coastal plain may be very short-lived!

The epicenter of the worst weather looks to be be Connecticut , with  Long Island as the candidate in New York State; Blizzard Watches have been extended through much of the Nutmeg State, with snowfall amounts from NOAA forecasted to be 18-24 inches. And, due to its proximity to the storm, and the potential for similar wind speeds, Long Island may finish runner up, with widespread totals of a foot or more when all is said and done.

This is not the last update. Another will come later today or tonight. But it is clear that a trend towards a major snowstorm is taking place, with the foreign model guidance leading the way from the get go.

stay tuned.