PREDICTABILITY OF FORECAST PERIOD: medium
1. Previous post makes the case that winter is already underway in our area.
2. Rainfall chances were a bit overdone here, as storm remained even further off shore this week. Risk of some coastal flooding, albeit minor, remains on the Jersey coast this week through Thursday. Vulnerable beaches left in Sandy’s wake make even minor events more magnified (this will be a theme through winter).
ACCUWEATHER FLIGHT DELAY MAP:
3. Mainly quiet through Friday, but a robust cold shot arrives early Saturday through Saturday night. Coldest weather of the fall season arrives Saturday night, with some light frozen precip possible inland during the day Saturday (probably morning). Very windy and cold Saturday night, with wind-chills in the teens and actual lows in the 20s to near 30.
4. Highs struggle to climb into the 40s Sunday, even in the warmer spots! A blustery day for Sunday.
NOAA DEPICTION OF TEMPS SAT-SUN LOOK OVERDONE
INTELLICAST TEMPS SAT-SUN
5. Monday-Tuesday, temps rebound closer to 50. Fair and tranquil, but then another shot of windy cold weather for the last weekend of November looking likely; storm will be accompanied by rain around the 29th/30th.
6. Video this coming Sunday or Monday will look at last December (2011) versus depiction of long range models for this December (2012). Evidence mounting that a fast start to winter will continue, with uptick in storminess likely for much of the holiday season.
"robust cold shot" and "another shot of windy cold weather" then a reward when clicking-wow
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