Friday, August 3, 2012

DOG DAYS OF AUGUST ARRIVE WITH CLASSIC SUMMERTIME PATTERN

PREDICTABILITY OF FORECAST PERIOD THROUGH WEDNESDAY-MEDIUM
PREDICTABILITY OF FORECAST PERIOD THURSDAY AND FRIDAY-LOW


1. still a threat in most forecasts for a risk of a thunderstorm through Sunday. Then, things get more active beginning Sunday late afternoon/night into Monday early morning, when fast moving storms roll through and hit most everybody. Severe weather possible in the form of strong wind gusts, but overall, it's a flash flood threat.

2. Saturday: Humidity will start to rise by midday, and become increasingly oppressive through Monday midday. Most uncomfortable conditions look like Sunday, with full-on spike in dew point. Actual temp near 90 both days, but "reelfeels" and "heat index" values near 100.



3. Monday afternoon through Tuesday, increasingly less humid conditions. Tuesday is the best day of the week, with no precip possibilities. Highs in the mid 80s.

4. By Wednesday and Thursday, a risk of a shower/storm creeps back in, along with the humidity. Better chance for storms thursday, before another cool-down tries to establish itself over the area.


5. Ernesto to become a Caribbean hurricane and threaten Mexico/South Texas by the middle of next week.

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