Friday, August 17, 2012

A PERIOD OF TRANQUIL AUGUST WEATHER SHAPING UP FOR SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY




PREDICTABILITY OF FORECAST PERIOD FROM MONDAY-FRIDAY-HIGH
 
A change in the overall pattern will put a lid on the frequent bouts of showers and storms that we’ve been experiencing the past ten days. In fact, a lot of areas will not see much if any rainfall through about Friday of next week. Temps will be kept to near normal levels, as the robust heat pump, which originated from the Southern Plains States for much of late June and July, has essentially been wiped out.

GFS 7-DAY "MEAN" TEMP SHOWS COOL OVER THE PLAINS (Ewall Site)




 And because of the newly configured pattern, air masses which spread over us will have modest humidity values. 

INTELLICAST TEMPS:




INTELLICAST PRECIP





NOAA TEMPS



NOAA DEW POINT chart shows very comfortable values mid-to-late week:



 Lurking in the distance however will be the increasing rumblings from the tropics. The typical peak of the season will begin, and with it, a renewed burst of activity both well out in the Atlantic and in close to our continent will commence.



Overall, the pattern can try to pull in storms that come close to the eastern seaboard, but this scenario is not likely to unfold in any meaningful way until after the 25th.


1 comment:

  1. My favorite kind of weather! Thanks for the explanation of the how and the why.

    ReplyDelete