LATE WEEK LOOKS UNSETTLED THIS WEEK.

PREDICTABILITY OF FORECAST PERIOD THROUGH WEDNESDAY-High

PREDICTABILITY OF FORECAST PERIOD THURSDAY-SUNDAY-Low

1. Huge bust temp-wise this past friday, as high did not make it out of the mid 60s!! Overview and most other sources caught off-guard by the rare July chill.

2. Sunday night (tonight) through Monday night: A risk of a thunderstorm. Northern areas have the biggest risk early in the period, then more of a risk tomorrow afternoon NYC/points south and east.  Storms will not be incredibly strong. highs near 90.

NOAA Precip chart shows a peak "chance" for  7pm Monday, with lesser "chance" before and after

3. Tuesday is the hottest day of the week, with highs in the low to mid 90s.  Risk of a thunderstorm Tuesday afternoon/evening as a strong front pushes out the scorching air mass by Tuesday night.

Intellicast Temps:

4. Dry/seasonable temps Wednesday, then things get unsettled Thursday-Saturday, with numerous showers/thunderstorms possible all areas. Timing and placement of rainfall very uncertain. Update will be needed to address the period.

5. Back-and forth temp pattern next 10 days, with no signs of prolonged heat spells of more than a day or two. The period from June 20-July 20 could stand out as the hottest point of the summer for our region, with a noticeable relaxation after 7/20 (but only time will tell if this is correct).

Intellicast Temps next 6-10 days shows this balancing out to a "normal" stretch of summer weather:

"weather overview" terms to help kick the point-and-click:

PREDICTABILITY OF FORECAST PERIODS

HIGH- most credible sources are in excellent agreement

MEDIUM: most credible sources are in fairly good agreement, with some differences

LOW: widespread differences in forecasts, AND overall low confidence from NWS Upton office

Risk of a shower/thunderstorm-probability of a shower is low. Most of the forecast period will be dry.

Numerous (heavy can be inserted) Showers/thunderstorms- probability of showers is high, and could happen multiple times during the given forecast period. Constant rain is not expected

Rainy conditions-intermittent precip; rain can vary in duration, but usually will last more than an hour. Light to moderate intensity. Less than an inch expected during the forecast period.

Heavy Rain-soaking, constant rainfall for at least an hour (duration can be much longer); amounts over a half an inch. 

Light snow-very light snowfall. Little to no accumulation. Duration depends. 

Snowy conditions-intermittent snow can last more than an hour at a time, but generally average less than 3 inches total.

Heavy Snow-heavy snowfall. Snowfall of at least 3 hours in duration. Totals can be added in

Drizzle-constant drizzle

Occasional Drizzle-intermittent drizzle