DAMAGING THUNDERSTORMS WILL THREATEN THE TRI STATE AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING

PREDICTABILITY OF FORECAST PERIOD THROUGH FRIDAY-MEDIUM

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Tomorrow is a day to keep tuned to the latest watches and warnings from NOAA.

 

A very significant severe weather outbreak in the form of thunderstorms with strong, damaging winds, appears likely to affect much of the region tomorrow afternoon.

 

Parts of our area are in a “moderate” risk for severe storms Thursday; this classification is usually reserved for areas of the mid-west and southern plains states during some of the most prolific episodes of severe weather year-round!

 

 

 

There is a credible threat of one or two tornadoes, particularly north and west of NYC.

 

Long Island is not in the moderate risk area, but they will probably not escape entirely. The fear is that the storms maintain and pose a widespread wind damage threat into the early evening, with similar potencey to  the June 29^th storms, which rocked the mid-west and middle Atlantic states for hundreds of miles across.

 

IF there’s a caveat, it would be that ongoing storms in the morning (for the Hudson valley and north) spread enough cloud cover to mitigate the main storm threat in the late afternoon. However, overall conditions appear to still be conducive for strong storms to develop, making the “escape” idea a low probability at this time.

 

Now is the time to prepare for the possibility of travel delays and some disruption to outdoor events for Thursday afternoon and early evening.

 

There will be a separate overview coming to address the period for Friday through the weekend…

stay tuned