THUNDERSTORM THREAT FOR SATURDAY STILL REAL

A quickie here as i wanted to update on thunderstorm chances for tomorrow. Check out the video if you haven't already.

But first, here is a cool graphic on NYC 100-degree days by decade, courtesy of Weatherbell:

Now, about the storm prospects tomorrow, NOAA's outstanding Storm Predictions Center has the outlined threat:

In their discussion, they note that while widespread storms are very possible, the "severe" threat should be mitigated to a very small area. The "simulated radar" off of the NAM/WRF model denotes this nicely for tomorrow afternoon, with only a small cluster of intense storms embedded into a general area of rain showers...

However, it should be noted that this can change, and even with a small spacial area from which to work with, the prospect of an isolated tornado in this type of set-up is not uncommon.

I like the timing laid out in the video from yesterday.