WINTER GOING OUT LIKE A LAMB

The air mass moving into the region at the present time should be cold enough to support a light snowfall for much of the region for overnight Friday morning through about midday. As has been the case throughout the winter, areas nearest to the coast stand the best chance of seeing accumulating snow on the order of 1-3 inches. Some slippery travel is possible Friday during the morning commute. A strong coastal storm will be the culprit, but its main area of heavy snow and wind will stay offshore.

Intellicast: Weather map for 7am Friday

For the weekend, we turn dry, with temps around 40 for highs.

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A surge of warm air will arrive by the middle of next week, with temps making a run at 70 in the urban areas (60s elsewhere near the coast) by Wednesday or Thursday.  Warmer-than-average temps are likely to persist through mid-March, before a cooler weather pattern settles back in for late month.

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MID-WEEK COASTAL STORM WILL DELIVER WIND AND RAIN TO THE REGION

1. Sunday turns a bit cooler on the heels of Saturday's spring teaser.  Light rain/snow may clip southern and Central Jersey Sunday night with no significant accumulation.

2. Dry and mild on Monday, with sunny skies. By Monday night, it clouds up with a southeast wind flow. This set up will persist and push extra water ashore for the balance of the work week; prepare for minor coastal flooding in some of the most vulnerable spots, with the highest likelihood of flooding on Wednesday.

3.  Light rain develops Tuesday night through Wednesday afternoon, then becomes heavy at times on Wednesday night.  Breezy. Rain ends Thursday morning, with clearing by afternoon and evening.

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4.  After an overall mild week,  temps return to near-normal levels for highs over the weekend, with fair skies.

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A FRIGID VALENTINE'S DAY WEEKEND

1. Thursday is quite windy all day, with winds peaking towards evening. A few snow showers could move through in the mid-to-late morning with no significant accumulations. Winds relax late Thursday evening. Temps around 30 for highs.

2. Friday: Dry, with more passing snow showers late at night. Arctic cold front moves through overnight Friday/early Saturday, setting the stage for the coldest air mass of the season.

FIOS1 Weather

3. Saturday: Dry, but turning dangerously cold through the day and into the night Saturday night. Temps will hit their high for the day around sunrise Saturday morning (20s), then steadily fall throughout the day. Readings by noontime Saturday will be in the teens everywhere, with wind-chill values near 0.

4. Severe cold envelops the area Saturday night, with record low temps possible. NYC has another shot at hitting the elusive 0 degree mark for the first time since 1994. If caught unprepared on Saturday night, the combination of wind-chill values of -20 or lower and actual temps near or below 0 could prove life-threatening. 

5.  Dry and cold for Sunday and Presidents' Day. Storm develops over the plains states and tracks towards the area around Tuesday. Departing frigid air mass means that rain and/or snow is a possibility during this time frame. Update will be needed over the weekend.

Weather Underground

6. Warmth develops late next week. Brief 5-7 day warm interlude before winter re-loads for the week of the 22nd and beyond. 

LIGHT SNOWFALL FOR BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY

The general theme of this update is to fine tune the details of the snowfall for the next 36-48 hours.





In short, the weather for Monday and Tuesday will be characterized by intermittent light snow and cloudy skies. Two storm systems will brush the area with light snow in a span of two days, with the heavier amounts east of NYC. The total snowfall idea shown here combines both storms. Areas over eastern Long Island towards the Twin Forks stand the best chance of seeing "surprise" amounts, but again, this snowfall will encompass a two day period.

The long duration of the storms, combined with the generally light amounts will make for a relatively low impact to commuters through mid-week.

Weather Underground

Conditions dry out for Wednesday. The next big weather story around here will be a brutal arctic air mass, which will arrive for Valentines' Day weekend.  Temps for Saturday night/Sunday morning could be a few degrees colder than what is shown above; readings may be near 0 north and west of NYC for early Sunday morning.

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