Thursday, March 19, 2015

EARLY SPRING SNOWSTORM ON TAP FOR MUCH OF FRIDAY

As mentioned in the last overview, a storm will deliver widespread snow to the region for Friday. 



Precip will break out between 6am-10am on Friday, and continue to fall during most of the day before ending by early evening. A mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain may occur in the afternoon, particularly near the coast; inland areas will deal with mostly snow, with little in the way of ice accretion. 

Saturday will be dry, but temps will stay largely in the 40s; this is due to the combination of the new snowfall and the expected calm winds for overnight Friday into Saturday. 

Another unseasonably cold air mass will settle into the region by Sunday. Temperatures will struggle into the mid-30s for highs, which is well over 10 degrees below average for this time of year.  Temps will only slowly rebound during next week into the 40s, with the warmest day being Thursday. Thereafter, another shot of Arctic air will try and take a run at the region for late next week. 

Intellicast.com


A period of showers should move in by around Wednesday night or Thursday.  

This well-advertised pattern will continue for the balance of the month and into the first week of April, before winter finally relinquishes its icy grip and yields to more consistent, spring-like weather.

Monday, March 16, 2015

FRIGID FINALE WILL LINGER INTO EARLY APRIL

1. See previous posts/videos as to the evolution of a cold, stormy period, which essentially begins this week and will only slowly let up by around April 10th.

NWS New York on Facebook and Twitter


2. After some light rain in the early morning hours of Tuesday, a cold front will whip through the region. Winds will turn very gusty out of the northwest by midday and skies will clear. Sharp drop in wind-chill values for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Actual temps will settle into the 20s, with wind-chill values in the teens/single digits. Winds relax overnight Tuesday/early Wednesday.



3. Wednesday and Thursday are cold and dry, with readings some 10 degrees below normal levels.

4. Snow develops Friday morning, then mixes with/changes to rain by Friday afternoon. Some slushy accumulations are likely area-wide before the changeover occurs. Bares watching.

7online.com/weather

5. After a warm, pleasant Saturday, a strong push of cold temps for this time of year will arrive by Sunday. Some rain/snow showers could move through by Saturday night. Readings for Sunday and Monday will likely remain in the 30s, with lows at night in the 20s

CPC: Probability of below normal temps is above average from 3/24-3/30



Saturday, March 7, 2015

BEWARE THE FALSE IDOL OF AN EARLY SPRING!



Daylight savings time begins March 8


1. Some clouds linger overnight Saturday night/Sunday, keeping temps steady in the upper 20s/low 30s. Temps rise into the 40s for much of the week for highs. Warmest day is Wednesday when reading may challenge 50F.

2. Ice will begin to break down across the area rivers and streams this week; this could cause local flooding as well as damage to nearby croplands.



3. Other than some light rain on Tuesday afternoon and night, no significant precipitation is expected through Friday and possibly a bit beyond.

Intellicast.com


4. Strong signs in the long term point towards a reluctant spring (as was the case last year). It is common for winters with a weak El Nino to last well into March.

Saturday, February 28, 2015

MARCH OPENS WITH A QUICK WINTER STORM

1. Snow develops late Sunday morning and then transitions to freezing rain and sleet for most areas Sunday afternoon and night before ending.  A general 2-4" will fall, with a glaze of ice; more snow will fall north and west of the city, with areas north and west of I95 receiving a general 3-6" of snow before a change to freezing rain. Monday morning's commute should be slightly impacted, but precip will be long gone by then. 

Accuweather.com


2. Quiet overall through Tuesday, then another storm will move across. With the next storm, the transistion to rain will be quicker, resulting in lesser impacts on roads. Expect a light snow, with a quick change to rain for Tuesday night into Wednesday.  Readings may spike to near 50 before they come back down by Wednesday afternoon/night.

7online.com/weather


3. Cold and dry for week's end. Temps will continue well below normal, with highs in the upper 20s to lower 30s.