Tuesday, March 15, 2016

A COOL START TO SPRING

The region will be subjected to three minor shots at rainfall in the form of showers over the next three days. 


For Wednesday, the majority of the day is sunny and warm; however, towards late afternoon, clouds move back in again. Expect light rain to develop for a few hours in the evening before ending late Wednesday night.


Tropical Tidbits: NAM Model shows light rain tomorrow evening


For St. Patrick’s Day, we will see a mix of sun and clouds with a threat of some late day and evening showers (again on the light side).

NOAA


For Friday, another cold front will swing through with afternoon and evening light showers. Things dry out for Saturday and most of the day Sunday, but temps will be on the cool side, with readings holding in the mid-to-upper 40s.


7online.com/weather


A more important storm will develop along the gulf coast late in the weekend and push northward towards the Mid and North Atlantic states for Sunday night into Monday. Rain should develop Sunday afternoon, then transition to wet snow for Sunday evening into Monday. Given the time of the year and a probable southern track, snow accumulations should be quite restricted to higher elevations. However, a track further north could complicate matters and bring heavier precip into the region, particularly towards the coast; the seasonal trends suggests the former, not the latter solution, with the storm brushing us with only light accumulations. 

Another update on Friday.

Sunday, March 6, 2016

MILD MARCH MADNESS

1. After tonight, temps won't dip below 40 degrees through the next 7-10 days in the metro area.  Above normal temps are likely to dominate through at least the 15th.

2. Increasing warmth each day this week, with the apex of the warmth Wednesday and again Thursday before light rain moves in. Temps to near record levels are likely for Wednesday (possibly Thursday) with partly sunny skies. Cool ocean will keep temps in the 60s near the coast for highs on Wednesday and Thursday, but still, temps will be quite warm for this time of year.


NOAA: Highs Wednesday

Weather Underground

3. Thursday night, some showers move through the region, but nothing too heavy. Friday through Sunday are still warm; the next chance of rain comes Saturday night into Sunday, but there's a lot of uncertainty about timing at this point.


Wednesday, March 2, 2016

WINTER GOING OUT LIKE A LAMB

The air mass moving into the region at the present time should be cold enough to support a light snowfall for much of the region for overnight Friday morning through about midday. As has been the case throughout the winter, areas nearest to the coast stand the best chance of seeing accumulating snow on the order of 1-3 inches. Some slippery travel is possible Friday during the morning commute. A strong coastal storm will be the culprit, but its main area of heavy snow and wind will stay offshore.

Intellicast: Weather map for 7am Friday

For the weekend, we turn dry, with temps around 40 for highs.

7online.com/weather


A surge of warm air will arrive by the middle of next week, with temps making a run at 70 in the urban areas (60s elsewhere near the coast) by Wednesday or Thursday.  Warmer-than-average temps are likely to persist through mid-March, before a cooler weather pattern settles back in for late month.

Saturday, February 20, 2016

MID-WEEK COASTAL STORM WILL DELIVER WIND AND RAIN TO THE REGION

1. Sunday turns a bit cooler on the heels of Saturday's spring teaser.  Light rain/snow may clip southern and Central Jersey Sunday night with no significant accumulation.

2. Dry and mild on Monday, with sunny skies. By Monday night, it clouds up with a southeast wind flow. This set up will persist and push extra water ashore for the balance of the work week; prepare for minor coastal flooding in some of the most vulnerable spots, with the highest likelihood of flooding on Wednesday.

3.  Light rain develops Tuesday night through Wednesday afternoon, then becomes heavy at times on Wednesday night.  Breezy. Rain ends Thursday morning, with clearing by afternoon and evening.





7online.com/weather


4.  After an overall mild week,  temps return to near-normal levels for highs over the weekend, with fair skies.