there's no denying it; i love snow. But also there's no denying the fact that there will be a lot of water cooler bashing of the weatherpeople tomorrow, and with good reason. Nearly 4 inches of snow has piled up in the Park, with places in coastal Northeast New Jersey getting close to 6 inches. The title of the post says it all; it's very rare when this blog is completely off the mark, but this is one of those occasions for NYC metro and Nassau counties.
So what do we take from this? It's only the second time since 2000 when snow accumulated in the park after March 15th TWICE. However, with the pattern being locked in for the foreseeable future, i cannot see why, at this juncture, many places won't end up with at least a trace of snow twice more before April first.
The first opportunity comes wednesday night into thursday, as the strong northwesterly flow will usher in a few small disturbances that can squeeze out a shot at some light snow on Wednesday night. '
A major storm will develop over the western states and chug eastward; the question will be how far north will it come Sunday into Monday. This looks like another slow-moving, pain-in-the-neck storm, and if we get caught in it, we have the necessary cold air to work with to produce something significant.
I cannot for the life of me ever seeing this much of a signal towards cold being touted by CPC. it's very rare to see them this bullish on the chill in the 6-10 day period, but my guess is that, because of the enormous blocking pattern, a slow transition from winter to some semblance of spring, is all we can reasonably hope for going forward into April.
Ugh.... but thanks.
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