VERY ACTIVE MID-WINTER WEATHER ON TAP THIS WEEK...

The idea in the pre-season outlook that winter would be a "roller coaster ride" will be on display this week, with winter and spring in a see-saw battle for the next 3-5 days.

This weeks dramatic warm-up will begin Monday (ironically) with a mix of light wintry precip and a potential problamatic ice event in the immediate northern suburbs of NYC.

A mix of snow, sleet and freezing will begin Monday morning, and transition to rain along the coast and NYC during the afternoon. However, areas just outside the city will be dealt a longer period of freezing rain and sleet, making travel quite hazardous north and west of the I-95 corridor during the late afternoon and early evening.

This precip is, in effect, a shot of very warm air overrunning the arctic dome that has dominated the weather picture since last Monday.

Great South Bay almost frozen

Accu-weather

Temps Tuesday will be in the 40s to near 50, with a huge spike Wednesday; we should see readings well into the 50s by then, and possibly one or two 60-degree reports, particularly in the normally warmer locales. 

Intellicast

Waiting in the wings however, is another shot of arctic air, set to arrive by thursday and Friday. Heavy rain should move in Wednesday night into early thursday, with the potential for very strong winds. A reinforcing shot of arctic air may be accompanied by light snow Friday, with perhaps even another  light snowfall over the weekend (saturday night).

NOTE: The snowfall from this past friday was generally around 1-3 inches. But looking back, the prospects for a much bigger storm that were touted here earlier in the week obviously did not come true.