PREDICTABILITY OF FORECAST PERIOD THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY: Medium
1. Main theme the next week will be a discernible increase in humidity values the next seven days. Although not oppressively hot, the combination of very warm temps with abundant humidity will lead to an uncomfortable stretch of summertime conditions beginning Friday.
NWS TEMP/DEW POINT combo Sunday through Wednesday:
SUN/MON
TUES/WED
DEW POINT CHART shows our area in the "oppressive" category...
2. Rainfall- Best chance still appears to be Saturday night through Sunday night, with just a risk of a heavy shower/storm Saturday evening. More numerous showers/thunderstorms abound area-wide Sunday; Flash flood threat is high with any storm.
3. Temps- Near 90 each day, with low 90s common Monday-Wednesday. Only a risk of a thunderstorm exists Monday-Thursday (NOAA Idea). Hottest day is Tuesday, with highs near 95 and heat index values possibly over 100 degrees for NYC (Intellicast/Accuweather).
"weather overview" terms to help kick the point-and-click:
PREDICTABILITY OF FORECAST PERIODS
HIGH- most credible sources are in excellent agreement
MEDIUM: most credible sources are in fairly good agreement, with some differences
LOW: widespread differences in forecasts, AND overall low confidence from NWS Upton office
Risk of a shower/thunderstorm-probability of a shower is low. Most of the forecast period will be dry.Numerous (heavy can be inserted) Showers/thunderstorms- probability of showers is high, and could happen multiple times during the given forecast period. Constant rain is not expected
Rainy conditions-intermittent precip; rain can vary in duration, but usually will last more than an hour. Light to moderate intensity. Less than an inch expected during the forecast period.Heavy Rain-soaking, constant rainfall for at least an hour (duration can be much longer); amounts over a half an inch.Light snow-very light snowfall. Little to no accumulation. Duration depends.Snowy conditions-intermittent snow can last more than an hour at a time, but generally average less than 3 inches total.Heavy Snow-heavy snowfall. Snowfall of at least 3 hours in duration. Totals can be added inDrizzle-constant drizzleOccasional Drizzle-intermittent drizzle
beautifully constructed first sentence- I love the use of discernible and abundant in "weather talk"
ReplyDeletewhere else can we get creative writing and weather info at the same time?