ANOTHER QUIET WEEK OVERALL

The active southern storm track which is associated with El Nino continues to show prominence over the southern and western states. Subtropical moisture from the Pacific Ocean will, by and large, continue to fuel systems across the Lower-48 States.

Intellicast

However, at least for this week, the storms won't be able to turn up the coast. Rather, they will get blocked as they come up with the result being a fairly dry week for the area.

NOAA: Total precipitation through Friday

Moreover, bitter cold air remains trapped in Canada; this is due to the overall configuration of the jet stream.



As the cold intensifies over the next few weeks, the active southern storm track will ultimately lead to many opportunities for substantial winter storms; but this process will be slow to evolve.

WATCHING A COASTAL STORM FOR NEXT WEEK

1. After Wednesday’s rain, skies remain cloudy for a good part of Thursday before clearing late Thursday afternoon and night. Departing low pressure will leave strong gusty winds in its wake from mid-morning Thursday through much of Thursday night. Temps initially will be in the 50s during the day, but then start to fall rapidly into the 30s at night. A chilly night is on tap for Thursday night, with gusty winds.

WPC.noaa.gov

2. Winds relax on Friday as high pressure takes control. Fair weather persists for the weekend into early next week. Temps will be seasonable, with highs in the upper 40s to low 50s.

7online.com/weather

3. Low pressure will take shape early next week off the South Atlantic coast. Track of the slow-moving storm is uncertain; potential is there for a soaking rainfall accompanied by strong winds for Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday. Conversely, aforementioned strong high situated to our north may block the storm’s progress, keeping the rain to our south. Bears watching.

4. No sign of any widespread wintry weather (cold and/or snow) in the long range through mid-month. 

VIDEO: A TEPID START TO DECEMBER

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THURSDAY RAIN, BUT QUIET FOR THANKSGIVING WEEK

1. Rain moves into the picture after the morning rush reaches its peak. Rain will be heavy at times from late morning through the early evening before ending by late evening. It'll be breezy in the afternoon; temps will be steady under a canopy of clouds for tonight into Thursday, with clearing late Thursday night.

NOAA: rain becomes likely by mid-morning all areas

2.  Friday through the weekend is sunny. Saturday and Sunday are cool; brisk conditions for early next week, but temps slowly moderate.

7online.com/weather

3.  High pressure continues to dominate the region through much of next week, with fair skies and temps near 50 for highs.  Holiday travel in the eastern states should be good for next week, with most of the active weather confined to the western states.

4. Below normal temps likely for the beginning of December. Cold pocket of air, currently building over the Pacific Northwest States, should charge eastward late next weekend, arriving near the east coast by December 1st. Cold pattern looks transient.

VIDEO: LOOKING AT THE WEEK AHEAD

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TWO RAIN CHANCES THIS WEEK

After a dry start to the week, clouds will lower and thicken by Monday night. Weak low pressure will bring light to moderate rain on Tuesday into Tuesday night before clearing out late. Precipitation should start around mid-morning and continue intermittently throughout the day and early evening hours before tapering off.

Tropical Tidbits: Weather map for 7am Tuesday

Sunshine returns for Veterans' Day. However,  a fast-moving cold front sweeps in Thursday afternoon with widespread showers. Skies clear once again by Thursday night. Sunshine returns for Friday and though the upcoming weekend. It'll be breezy on Friday, with temps in the 50s.

Tropical Tidbits: Weather map for 7am Thursday

Between the rainfall on Tuesday and Thursday, amounts should average around an inch for the week, with slightly heavier amounts of rainfall with the first system.

WPC 7-day pricip amounts

7online.com/weather

Overall, temps through the weekend will be slightly above normal.

WEEKEND COOL-DOWN

1. Fog develops late tonight. Clouds prevail tomorrow and again on Friday, with light rain/drizzle moving in during the afternoon and at night.  Remaining very warm despite the clouds on Thursday, with highs in the 60s.

2. Another balmy November day is on tap for Friday.  Any rain should hold off until a fast-moving cold front moves through with a few showers during the evening hours. The bigger story with this front as a return to more seasonable temps for the weekend.

3. Chilly night for Sunday night/Monday, with widespread low temps in the 30s. Calm winds and no cloud cover will allow temps to bottom out area-wide.

4. Quiet for Monday, but clouds lower and thicken for Tuesday and Wednesday. Exiting high pressure to our east and nearby disturbances could trigger rain at some point in this period.

Meteorologistjoecioffi.com

5. Signs of any significant change in the weather pattern which would promote much cooler weather (like we saw last November) are elusive. Any major reconfiguration of the pattern in the Northern Hemisphere should be slow over the next week to 10 days.