Sunday, January 5, 2014
BEFORE THE TEMPS PLUNGE....
I've experienced few flash freeze events before, and the NWS is not exactly setting things in stone as of their last forecast discussion. It's going to be a "nowcast" situation; we'll have to see how much (and i suspect we'll have a lot) of rainfall and standing water freezing over tomorrow night.
That'll have to be reported by the public. it's not something that i think can be modeled well or, for that matter, forecasted well. I don't know of any models or product, aside from observations, which ascertains how much standing water is on the ground. Best you can hope for is a rapid snow melt between now and tomorrow night at around 8pm. We have temps surging into the 40s and lower 50s right now! Amazing!
So between now and then, I guess there's at least a shot at most of the liquid to melt and/or run off, but it's not likely in my humble opinion. In either case, people need to watch out on Tuesday morning for dangerous black ice, especially while driving. . .
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