Friday, August 31, 2012

CLOUDS ON THE INCREASE FOR THE SECOND HALF OF LABOR DAY WEEKEND



PREDICTABILITY OF FORECAST PERIOD: MEDIUM
 
1. After a warm, sunny Saturday, clouds will build in for Sunday through much of Tuesday before clearing works in Wednesday-Thursday.  Overall pattern will turn overcast, with fog likely at night (especially near the coast)

Intellicast Temps and Clouds through the period:



 
2. RAIN: Sunday-Monday are mostly dry, but a risk of a stray shower is possible in the afternoon. Higher Chance Monday. Then, more numerous showers Tuesday, as what remains of Isaac passes through. Rainfall totals could average around an inch area-wide, with some higher amounts.

NOAA HPC Rainfall amounts Tuesday


 
3. Another front charges in Thursday evening/Friday morning, with showers and thunderstorms a good possibility.
 
4. We’ll have to monitor the track of Leslie in the Atlantic. Seas will certainly build beginning Wednesday at the ocean; the closest pass to our coastline would come by late next week, but too much uncertainty exists to say how close at this point. Bears watching.

GFS model spray for Leslie


5. Astronomical rainfall from Isaac this past week over the Mississippi Delta Region was recorded via doppler radar estimates. Areas in pink represent over fifteen inches of rainfall!





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