ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY

1. Very warm weather will prevail for the first weekend of August.  After today's low humidity values, winds turn southerly on Saturday, ushering in higher dew points. Sunday is less humid, but still very warm with temps near 90 in NYC, and in the upper 80s elsewhere.

2.  Little in the way of precipitation through Tuesday. Any storms will be widely scattered (perhaps Monday night). Overall, the period from Saturday through Tuesday will be characterized by very warm temps, with varying amounts of humidity.

WPC: Forecasted price from Saturday through Wednesday morning

3.  Frontal boundary will sit near the region by Wednesday. Temps will be lower this time frame, with increasing opportunities for showers and thunderstorms both Wednesday and Thursday. 

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TURNING LESS HUMID BY MID-WEEK

The very hot temps of today will once again be felt tomorrow; readings will touch the lower and middle 90s. However on Monday, the humidity levels will be slightly less. So although it'll be very warm, it will be less oppressive than Sunday.

Thunderstorm chances appear to be more limited than what was being portrayed a few days ago. The necessary ingredients of heat and humidity are there, but the lack of either a much cooler air mass nearby or a strong mid-level disturbance means that storms will be isolated in nature through the daylight hours of Monday.

By late Monday night into Tuesday, a stronger disturbance will come close enough to spark widespread showers and thunderstorms for the overnight period. Daytime conditions on Tuesday will likely be dry, with decreasing humidity levels.

Accuweather.com

Temps from mid-week on look to be near normal levels, with comfortable humidity values; the jet stream configuration late week will keep stifling heat at bay; Some chances for showers could occur by Sunday afternoon.

7online.com/weather

HELTER-SKELTER IN THE SUMMER SWELTER

1. Weekend weather will be characterized by warm and increasingly humid conditions, with the best chance of afternoon/evening storms (scattered) coming on Saturday.

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/upper/charts/500

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2. Hottest day of the summer thus far is poised to arrive for Sunday; temps make a run at 90 at most locations. Even Long island’s shore communities can briefly touch 90 degrees before the local sea breeze develops in the afternoon. Although actual highs will be in the lower 90s, very humid conditions will make it feel like it’s in the upper 90s to near 100. 

3. Strong potential for heavy rain/thunderstorms Monday, in the late morning/early afternoon. Unstable air mass Monday will have the “trigger” in the form of a potent cold front as well as a mid-level disturbance to spark widespread storms.  Update coming Sunday to address this further.

7online.com/weather

4. Tuesday and Wednesday are warm, but less humid, with perhaps a light passing shower on Tuesday evening. Next chance for more organized storms comes about next Friday. 

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A LOOK AT THE WEEK AHEAD

1. After a classic summer weekend of sunshine and temps in the 80s and 90s, we'll see slightly cooler conditions for Monday. Light southeast winds will keep temps in the mid 80s under sunny skies. Clouds come in late in the day and continue to build overhead for Monday night, with an isolated shower in a few places very late Monday night.

2. Tuesday is cloudy and humid. Late day showers and thunderstorms are a good bet Tuesday afternoon and night .  Weak steering flow in the atmosphere will allow storms to dump heavy rain.

3. Position of a weakening cold front will determine Wednesday's overall weather. Low confidence due to the variability of the models; this will have to be addressed in an update, which will come sometime tomorrow night. For now, plan for a good chance of an afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm.

Weather Nation

4. Sunshine returns Thursday through Friday, with less humid conditions. Temps will stay in the 80s. More humid Saturday; an isolated shot at scattered storms comes about by Saturday afternoon and night, with the greatest risk for storms during the weekend being Sunday as a cold front enters the region.

THREAT OF SHOWERS AND DOWNPOURS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT

The scattered thunderstorms that affect the region tonight will wane overnight. Most of the day on Thursday should be mainly cloudy and muggy, with highs near 80. The cloud cover will preclude the development of thunderstorms during the day; however, showers with drenching downpours are a good bet towards late afternoon and through the evening as an upper air disturbance tracks near or over the area.

Penn State Ewall Maps

After the rainfall for Thursday exits the area, warm, but less humid weather and sunshine will build in for the majority of the weekend.  Chances for the next round of rainfall in the form of showers won't arrive until very late Sunday or early Monday.

7online.com/weather

Early next week looks unsettled and humid once again, as another nearby front stalls and allows small disturbances to move over or close to the region; this will touch off afternoon and evening showers and storms for Monday through Wednesday.

In the long term, prolonged heat stays to our south and a wet pattern may take hold mid-month and beyond.