Tuesday, June 9, 2015

LATE-WEEK PATTERN IS A CLASSIC, MID-SUMMER SET-UP

The weather mid-to-late week will be characterized by warm, muggy weather and multiple opportunities for showers and thunderstorms.

After a mild, dry day Wednesday, the humidity will start to increase Wednesday night into Thursday. Temps will be a few degrees warmer on Thursday as compared to Wednesday; all areas, even at the coast, will be basking in 80-plus degree readings, while the urban areas will be in the upper 80s to near 90 for high temps. Thursday will easily be the hottest day of the week.

A weak disturbance will trigger afternoon storms, but it's more likely to happen west and north of NYC and the coast, where the air will be much more unstable.

After another muggy, warm day Friday, chances for widespread showers and thunderstorms will increase late Friday night into Saturday morning. We'll see a break in the action Saturday during the day, but then more showers and storms will bubble up yet again. The front for Saturday has the best chance of touching off a round of intense storms capable of producing downpours, frequent lighting and gusty winds during the late day and early evening hours.

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Sunday is shaping up to be dry for all areas, as the region will be situated between the departing cold front and another system, which will be set to arrive for Monday afternoon and night. More showers and storms will creep in Monday, but the better chance looks to be Tuesday of next week for any organized, widespread rainfall.

Thursday, June 4, 2015

BREAKING OUT OF THE EARLY JUNE TEMP SWOON

1. Spotty light rain overnight and through the early part of the day Friday will give way to intervals of sunshine and dry conditions by afternoon. Some more isolated rain showers arrive overnight Friday/Saturday, but they will be very light and will most likely stay to the north and west of NYC and the coast.

2. Sunny Saturday, with temps in the 70s to near 80.  More of the same Sunday, with a bit less humidity.



3. Chance for showers increase for Monday, but there is a greater chance for more widespread action Tuesday, as a cold front sweeps through the area.

7online.com/weather


4. Highs will generally stay in the 70s through the forecast period; no widespread, 90-degree heat is in the offing through the next seven days.

Thursday, May 28, 2015

A CHANCE FOR MUCH-NEEDED RAIN FROM LATE SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY




As we get further into the summer months, the tendency is for rainfall to not persist for an entire day. Rather, we seem to get periods of rain or just showers. This looks to be in the offing for late Saturday night through Monday morning and possibly a bit beyond. The long dry spell since late-April that has sent us into a "moderate drought" may be dented somewhat, as a slow-moving cold front hovers over the region for late in the weekend and provides the focus for showers and storms.

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Rainfall should be largely absent for NYC and points south and east for the balance of the day Saturday. However, chances for storms and heavy showers will become more likely for late in the evening and though the overnight Saturday night/early Sunday.

Thunderstorm chances will be higher for Saturday night and lessen for Sunday; however, heavy downpours will be likely due to the proximity of the front and a very moist environment on Sunday and Sunday night.

WPC: 5-day rainfall totals are solidly over 1"
Temps will remain warm and humid through Monday, but a noticeable cool-down will ensue for early next week, as the stubborn front slowly slithers by.

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Sunday, May 17, 2015

THIS WEEK'S WEATHR AT A GLANCE

Intellicast Surface Map Monday May 18

Intellicast Surface Map Tuesday Morning May 19

NOAA Surface Map for Wednesday May 20

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