NYC weather guy

Wednesday, September 9, 2015

VIDEO: TWO SHOTS AT MUCH NEEDED RAIN

Sunday, September 6, 2015

WATCHING FOR LATE-WEEK RAIN CHANCES

1. Much of the week will be very warm to hot, with daily high temps easily surpassing the normal values (for this time of the year) by 5-10 degrees each day. Conditions will be dry through Thursday; humidity values will be uncomfortable, but not oppressive Monday and Tuesday. The worst day for combined heat and humidity should occur on Wednesday, when dew points climb into the 70s.

2. By late Thursday into Friday, a front will approach from the west and slow down near the area. Weak disturbances in the atmosphere should work in tandem with the warm, humid air mass in place to generate one or two rounds of showers and thunderstorms, particularly on Thursday night and into part of Friday. Any rain would help alleviate the short-term drought that has developed, especially over Long Island and Connecticut, where conditions are driest.

3. Conditions should improve for the upcoming weekend with temps remaining above normal. More warm, dry weather should persist for mid-to-late month, solidifying the widely held idea that September would be a very mild month across the east and south.

Sunday, August 30, 2015

SEPTEMBER SIZZLE

A very warm pattern for this time of year will dominate our weather through at least the first 10 days of the month. The alignment of the jet stream will stay unchanged; this will lead to well-above normal temps and very low chances for rain.

Weatherspark: Average daily high temps in September for New York

Some isolated showers and storms could pop up on Thursday and again on Friday (both in the afternoon hours) but most places will remain dry though at least Sunday and probably beyond.

7online.com/weather

Easterly winds will take hold for weekend beginning on Friday, meaning slightly cooler and less humid conditions. However, temps will stay in the mid to upper 80s, which is some 5-8 degrees above normal.

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

VIDEO: HIGH AND DRY: ACTIVE TROPICS

Watch Now

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

FRIDAY DOWNPOURS

Any rainfall over the last week has been spotty around the region and has done little to alleviate the dry conditions we’ve experienced over the last 30 days.

NOAA: rainfall last 30 days

In the short term, it’ll remain warm and humid through Thursday for the entire area. Clouds will be more prevalent on Thursday, which will mitigate the influence of daytime heating. Any showers or thunderstorms will be heavily confined to west of the Hudson River, with more isolated chances the further east you head, including Long Island.

By dawn Friday morning, a slow moving front will trigger heavy showers area-wide. These showers will slowly move east. With a highly moistened atmosphere in place, any shower can produce very heavy rain in a short amount of time; this could cause urban and highway flooding to transpire very quickly during the morning rush hour. Chances for showers should begin to wane by mid-to-late afternoon as the front slowly creeps through the region.

Intellicast: weather map for 8am Friday

Conditions will improve by Saturday and Saturday night. Any showers or thunderstorms during this time frame will be widely scattered.

Weather Underground: Smartphone

The next front will arrive on Tuesday morning with less humid air. Until then, the air mass will remain tropical, while temps will be very close to normal for this time of year.

Thursday, August 13, 2015

MID-TO-LATE AUGUST WILL BE WARMER THAN AVERAGE

1. Overall increasingly warm, humid pattern through Tuesday. Highest humidity values will be felt on Saturday, Monday and Tuesday, with lower humidity values for Sunday and Wednesday.

2. Precipitation should be minimal through the next seven days. We'll have a chance at an isolated thunderstorm on Saturday afternoon, then a more widespread area of thunderstorms should push through Tuesday afternoon and night. Total precipitation for most areas through next Wednesday should average less than 1 inch.