Thursday, May 28, 2015

A CHANCE FOR MUCH-NEEDED RAIN FROM LATE SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY




As we get further into the summer months, the tendency is for rainfall to not persist for an entire day. Rather, we seem to get periods of rain or just showers. This looks to be in the offing for late Saturday night through Monday morning and possibly a bit beyond. The long dry spell since late-April that has sent us into a "moderate drought" may be dented somewhat, as a slow-moving cold front hovers over the region for late in the weekend and provides the focus for showers and storms.

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Rainfall should be largely absent for NYC and points south and east for the balance of the day Saturday. However, chances for storms and heavy showers will become more likely for late in the evening and though the overnight Saturday night/early Sunday.

Thunderstorm chances will be higher for Saturday night and lessen for Sunday; however, heavy downpours will be likely due to the proximity of the front and a very moist environment on Sunday and Sunday night.

WPC: 5-day rainfall totals are solidly over 1"
Temps will remain warm and humid through Monday, but a noticeable cool-down will ensue for early next week, as the stubborn front slowly slithers by.

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Sunday, May 17, 2015

THIS WEEK'S WEATHR AT A GLANCE

Intellicast Surface Map Monday May 18

Intellicast Surface Map Tuesday Morning May 19

NOAA Surface Map for Wednesday May 20

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Thursday, May 14, 2015

WEEKEND POINT-AND-CLICK FOLLIES

1. See previous video on upcoming weekend's meager rain chances (best chances Saturday early morning, then late afternoon/evening). Sunday looks warm and dry, but the point-and-click forecasts will lead people astray.


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2. Monday is another mainly dry day, but noticeably cooler as the winds shift from off of the cool Atlantic Ocean.

WPC: 5-day rainfall totals should average 0.50


3. Another shot at showers and storms comes in Tuesday afternoon (see previous video). Drying for mid-week, but look for a cool start to Memorial Day weekend (Thursday/Friday with highs in the 60s) before it warms up into the 70s for highs.