Sunday, March 23, 2014

INTENSE COASTAL STORM WILL BRUSH THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

So far, the model guidance has held serve over the weekend in depicting the brunt of a dangerous coastal storm tracking to our south and east for Tuesday night into Wednesday.  However, a complete miss at this point is not in the cards at this time;  places from NYC and points south and east still stand a good chance to see several inches of snow.

Although the likelihood of an all-out blizzard is still quite low, the possibility needs to be carefully watched due to the very intense nature of the storm as it makes its closest approach Wednesday morning.

A warm-up looks likely for this weekend into early next week.

Another update, plus a full look at the week's weather will be on tomorrow evening.


Saturday, March 15, 2014

UPDATED SNOWFALL OUTLOOK ON SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY STORM

Another very difficult forecast confronts the area for the second time this month. The poor run-to-run consistency of the models' handling of the the track and strength of the storm is bedeviling forecasters yet again. However, the notable trend over the last 24-36 hours is to keep the bulk of the snow to our south.

OLD IDEA


NEW IDEA



more to come on Sunday

Friday, March 14, 2014

LATE-SEASON WINTER STORM THREAT FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY STILL ON THE TABLE

The significant snow threat talked about in the video from Tuesday still has merit.

Given the trends and using the latest model guidance, this is where we are now...

stay tuned.