Tuesday, October 8, 2013
Sunday, October 6, 2013
A LOOK AT THE NEXT 30 HOURS
The warm front which was situated over the mid-Atlantic states for much of the weekend has drifted up into our region today, with very little movement anticipated through tomorrow morning...
The onshore flow will allow cloud cover to dominate, with periods of very light rain continuing through the period.
Under low clouds, temps will be steady. Right now, they are holding in the upper 60s.
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| WPC current surface analysis |
The onshore flow will allow cloud cover to dominate, with periods of very light rain continuing through the period.
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| Intellicast |
Under low clouds, temps will be steady. Right now, they are holding in the upper 60s.
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| Intellicast Temp Change for the PAST 24 hour period.
By tomorrow, winds should begin to increase, with mostly cloudy skies. The rain arrives by evening...
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HIGHLIGHTS FOR THE WEEK AHEAD
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| Intellicast |
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| Current shot of the remains of Karen in the Gulf of Mexico |
The rainfall idea here was based off of a blend of meteorologist Lee Goldberg (ABC 7) from Friday and NWS Mount Holly, NJ, with a slight weight towards NWS New York for timing and winds.
WINDS from Monday night into Tuesday morning could gust as high as 30mph from the south
By late week, another storm should develop over the eastern coastal waters. The models are just catching this now, with some bringing the storm south of the region, and others with more of a northern track. The timing would be Saturday afternoon into Sunday as far as rain and some wind. The biggest impact would be if the storm could deliver some needed rain across the region, but this remains to be seen.
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| EURO model sees a storm for Saturday off of the coast |
Thursday, October 3, 2013
KAREN COULD MAKE THE AREA LESS BARREN ON MONDAY
But first, some changes are notable for tomorrow's forecast. It appears to be a bit more pessimistic (cloudier as well) for eastern coastal areas, but not a washout by any means. Although the bulk of the light showers tomorrow should stay west of the Hudson, the coverage will be enough to keep rain chances in mind for all locales, especially during the afternoon and early evening.
Saturday and Sunday, the threat for an isolated afternoon shower is renewed, but it's more confined to the west and north of the city and coast, as the staggering warm front finally makes it through by Sunday night.
Temps stay quite mild and very muggy as noted yesterday.
In fact, the presence of more clouds at nighttime will hold temps steady even then!
The same forecast problem exists for Monday, as Karen makes her journey as a decaying tropical cyclone up the eastern seaboard, most likely east of the Appalachian Chain. Anything rain-wise would be a welcomed sight; parts of the area are running as much as five inches behind the mean yearly total for this date.
Today's forecasts are a little more ambitious, showing widespread totals of at least an inch
The timing would be Monday afternoon into Monday night, with leftover showers Tuesday morning before clearing.
More later...
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| NOAA Current Surface Chart |
Saturday and Sunday, the threat for an isolated afternoon shower is renewed, but it's more confined to the west and north of the city and coast, as the staggering warm front finally makes it through by Sunday night.
Temps stay quite mild and very muggy as noted yesterday.
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| Intellicast.com |
In fact, the presence of more clouds at nighttime will hold temps steady even then!
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| weather.com |
The same forecast problem exists for Monday, as Karen makes her journey as a decaying tropical cyclone up the eastern seaboard, most likely east of the Appalachian Chain. Anything rain-wise would be a welcomed sight; parts of the area are running as much as five inches behind the mean yearly total for this date.
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| NOAA New York on Facebook/Twitter |
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| WPC Precip Forecast from Yesterday 10/2/13 |
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| WPC Precip Forecast From today 10/3/13 |
The timing would be Monday afternoon into Monday night, with leftover showers Tuesday morning before clearing.
More later...
Wednesday, October 2, 2013
Friday, September 27, 2013
TRANQUILITY REIGNS AS WE HEAD INTO OCTOBER
1. Today: A northeasterly wind means that conditions will be somewhat cool, but pleasant overall. Some Stratocumulus clouds can make it in at times during the day, but things will clear out by nightfall.
4. Tuesday-Thursday: Clouds dissipate, and temps start to rise. Upper 70s a good bet to open October.
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| Stratocumulus Clouds
2. Saturday-Sunday: Quiet, with less cloud cover overall in the afternoon. Temps near normal levels for this time of year.
3. Monday: Offshore storm brushes the region. Over far eastern sections of Long Island and Connecticut, showers can pop up during the day. A bit breezy for all areas, but winds should stay below 25mph. Minor beach erosion possible. High waves are likely at the shore, but no coastal flooding is expected at this time.
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| Intellicast
5. Tropical Season a dud so far. This continues the overall trend of LOWER overall tropical activity since 2005 in the Atlantic Basin.
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Tuesday, September 24, 2013
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