WARMTH BUILDS INTO THE NEW YEAR

 

CHRISTMAS TEMPERATURE SLEIGHRIDE

 

DECEMBER COLD, STORMY FINISH

 

SIDE-STEPPING STORMS THROUGH MONDAY

 

STRONG WINDS WEDNESDAY

 

Get ready for strong winds and rain Wednesday. Dry through Saturday. More showers Saturday afternoon and night, but the next front is not as potent as the one on Wednesday.  Long range looks interesting and could lead to wintry mischief after the 7th or the 8th with a huge blocking pattern setting the stage for whatever comes after for mid-month. 

POST-THANKSGIVING OUTLOOK

 

CHILLY THROUGH THANKSGIVING WEEK

 

TROPICAL RAINS LATE WEEK

 

WARM START TO NOVEMBER

 

PERIODS OF UNSETTLED WEATHER THIS WEEK

 

CHILLY WEEK, WARM WEEKEND

 

RAIN THURSDAY: FALL PATTERN CONTINUES

 

OCTOBER CLASSIC FALL START

 

REMAINING COOL THROUGH NEXT WEEK

 

FALL WEATHER ARRIVES ON SCHEDULE

 

SPLENDID SEPTEMBER WEATHER CONTINUES

 

LABOR DAY SOAKING RAIN

 

A big change has occurred in the forecast for Monday and i try to show you why this might have the ingredients to actually produce a much-needed, soaking rain around here for Monday afternoon through late Tuesday. 

TRANQUIL SEPTEMBER START

 

The Labor Day holiday is looking ideal for last-minute summer shenanigans and the tropical Atlantic is still dormant! 

WARM, HUMID, DRY LATE AUGUST

 

Yesterday was a golden opportunity to dent our short-term drought. But, models overestimated the potential rainfall for the region; only some areas saw much needed rainfall. The trend going into the end of the month is for a continuation of the dry pattern and a consistent warm, muggy air mass to hold on through early September.

HOPING FOR RAIN THIS WEEK? THE TREND IS NOT YOUR FRIEND...

 Weather models struggled the last few days with the placement of steady, heavy rain for the upcoming week. What looked like a decent pattern for rain in our area is now evolving into one where the bulk of much-needed precipitation stays mainly offshore.

Clouds come in late tonight and winds turn onshore, making it a cool week overall. 

National Weather Service-Upton, New York

We'll remain basically dry Monday, but then a few showers are possible area-wide on Tuesday. By Wednesday, a coastal storm will pass offshore, with areas over eastern Long Island and Connecticut seeing the best chance of a soaking rain. 

NYC and points north and west get fringe effects.

Tropical Tidbits

Weather Prediction Center/NOAA

The expected amounts of rain for tonight through next Saturday has dwindled on the National Weather Service's graphical forecasts. 

U.S. Drought Monitor

Meanwhile, the short-term drought should continue. 

After Wednesday, our next best chance of rain looks to arrive late in the weekend; expect humidity levels to come back up starting Thursday, but fair skies should largely prevail through Sunday of next weekend.  

TURNING COOLER NEXT WEEK, BUT DRY

 

We'll be dealing with hot temps through the weekend with slight fluctuations in heat and humidity through Monday. By Tuesday, a more important change in the weather pattern will lead to more reasonable temps in the mid-80s for mid-week next week. The area is abnormally dry and drought conditions are developing locally and becoming moderate to severe in parts of Eastern New England. 

EARLY AUGUST OUTLOOK

 

HEAT RELAXES EARLY WEEK

Record heat likely on Sunday as the heat wave reaches its peak. We'll see temps closer to normal for this time of year after Monday, but it'll still be warm for the balance of the week with highs generally in the mid-to-upper 80s. A severe weather threat exists for Monday as the worst of the heat is pushed away; look for the threat of damaging winds and heavy rain for Monday afternoon. A cold front will push through on Thursday with more storms possible. Next weekend looks okay for now, with major heat shifting to the west coast of the U.S for next weekend. 

HOT WEATHER IN CONTROL THROUGH THE WEEKEND

 

CLASSIC MID-JULY WEATHER AHEAD

 

It looks very warm and dry through much of next week, with only scattered storms around from time to time.  The northern branch of the jet stream wants to finally head further north, making it more likely we'll see at-or-above normal temps (but not terribly hot). 

HEAT KEPT AT BAY THROUGH MID-JULY

 

EARLY JULY OUTLOOK

 

The overall pattern looks very persistent, with fast-moving fronts keeping out temps in check; no real heat can build for more than a day or two before it gets replaced by a cooler air mass from the north. 

CHANGEABLE WEATHER KICKS OFF SUMMER

 

 

HIGHLIGHTS FOR THE WEEK AHEAD

 

WARM WEEK NEXT WEEK

 

SIGNS OF SUMMER THIS WEEK

 

MURKY MOTHERS' DAY

 

GLOOMY START TO MAY

 

LATE WEEK WARMING TREND

 

HIGHLIGHTS FOR THE WEEK AHEAD

 

EARLY APRIL OUTLOOK

 

STUBBORN LATE WEEK STORM

 

SPRING TAKES HOLD THROUGH NEXT WEEK

 

TWO STORMS THIS WEEK

 

QUIET EARLY MARCH PATTERN AHEAD

 

FRIDAY STORM, DRY WEEKEND

 

FEBRUARY CLOSES WITH A STORMY PATTERN

 

HIGH WINDS LATE THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY

 

ICE ISSUES NORTH & WEST ON FRIDAY

 

EARLY FEBRUARY OUTLOOK

 

COASTAL SNOWSTORM FOR SATURDAY

 

WATCHING A WEEKEND WINTER STORM THREAT...

 

LATE MONTH COLD AND DRY

 

COASTAL STORM LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY

 

Looks like a wet, not white start to the week next week. 

LONG RANGE DISCUSSION

 

I take a look at the period surrounding MLK Weekend and beyond... 

WINTER STORM FOR FRIDAY

 

Winter storm for Friday. It gets out of here by Friday midday. Cold Saturday. Warming up a bit Sunday, then a frigid arctic blast for early next week. 

TURBULENT TEMPS NEXT TEN DAYS